Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.600959 0.779726 0.982299 1.225911 1.508010 1.821632 2.193847
2025-05-18 0.356701 0.574956 0.856556 1.232898 1.709338 2.279893 3.002025
2025-05-25 0.198028 0.410924 0.726995 1.194987 1.836430 2.653527 3.741251
2025-06-01 0.126354 0.336483 0.691040 1.262267 2.094258 3.202506 4.730311
2025-06-08 0.071596 0.259170 0.624734 1.266768 2.257894 3.633146 5.588506
2025-06-15 0.047222 0.226572 0.620787 1.360262 2.550720 4.250056 6.717159
2025-06-22 0.028299 0.190986 0.598883 1.416609 2.787291 4.796359 7.769287
2025-06-29 0.014950 0.155688 0.564582 1.442352 2.973179 5.274303 8.740635
2025-07-06 0.005794 0.116915 0.506360 1.411351 3.060132 5.606327 9.514164
2025-07-13 0.002191 0.094690 0.478950 1.432435 3.230469 6.065212 10.477595
2025-07-20 0.000562 0.075712 0.451196 1.446248 3.385855 6.503778 11.420542
2025-07-27 0.000018 0.053879 0.401042 1.401336 3.431181 6.770073 12.115806
2025-08-03 NaN 0.036056 0.351331 1.348695 3.460615 7.017706 12.800907
2025-08-10 NaN 0.026891 0.328954 1.356474 3.601949 7.449212 13.772926
2025-08-17 NaN 0.017162 0.291147 1.316146 3.646202 7.722657 14.511937
2025-08-24 NaN 0.014858 0.294987 1.388075 3.915111 8.375074 15.843784
2025-08-31 NaN 0.010366 0.276326 1.392923 4.048647 8.804447 16.840616
2025-09-07 NaN 0.009774 0.289456 1.492655 4.380906 9.577357 18.383401
2025-09-14 NaN 0.008061 0.289474 1.552695 4.633429 10.220470 19.734624
2025-09-21 NaN 0.005881 0.279544 1.580110 4.818461 10.752225 20.920365
2025-09-28 NaN 0.003242 0.252624 1.547105 4.872016 11.057601 21.754691
2025-10-05 NaN 0.002130 0.243109 1.569557 5.045481 11.574598 22.930939
2025-10-12 NaN 0.001275 0.232126 1.584263 5.201603 12.063497 24.068493